Bitcoin Tumbles as Top Fed Official Backs Further Rate Hikes
Bitcoin value dipped following comments from a senior Federal Reserve official supporting further rate hikes, amidst expectations of decreased dollar liquidity as the U.S. Treasury replenishes funds, potentially impacting risk assets negatively.
Bitcoin (BTC) faced selling pressure on Wednesday after a senior Federal Reserve (Fed) official saw no urgent need to stop liquidity tightening. This stance by the Fed has destabilized risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester told the Financial Times that she sees a stronger case for increasing rates, then maintaining them until economic conditions become clearer. Bitcoin fell approximately 2% to $27,021 after her comments.
Simultaneously, futures associated with Wall Street's tech-focused Nasdaq index fell by 0.38%, suggesting a negative open on Wednesday. The dollar index increased by 0.27% to 104.40. Gold, however, proved resistant, trading 0.2% higher at $1,962 per ounce.
Since March 2022, the Fed has increased rates by 500 basis points to 5% to manage inflation. Mester's endorsement for another rate hike and continued high rates align with recent hotter-than-expected inflation data. This validates the recent hawkish repricing of U.S. interest rate expectations.
Last Friday's official data showed increased U.S. consumer spending in April, while the Fed's preferred inflation metric rose to 4.4% annually in April from 4.2% in March. The expectation for the Fed to cut rates this year has diminished, and a 25 basis point rate hike for June is fully anticipated.
Over the last seven months, traders hoped for a halt in Fed rate hikes in H1 2023 and liquidity-enhancing rate cuts in H2, boosting Bitcoin's YTD gain to over 65%. The digital currency reached a 10-month high of $31,000 in April, while the dollar index fell over 12%.
Mester noted that the debt ceiling agreement removed significant uncertainty from the U.S. economy. Over the weekend, a preliminary deal was reached to suspend the $31.4 trillion ceiling and avert a default. Once approved, the Treasury will reaccumulate funds by issuing bonds, thereby withdrawing dollar liquidity from the system, potentially impacting risk assets negatively.
