Ethereum ETF Faces Uncertainty

Ethereum ETF Faces Uncertainty

By Jakub Lazurek

04 Jul 2024 (6 months ago)

2 min read

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Delays in the launch of Ethereum ETFs have led to market uncertainty and significant outflows, with mixed sentiment about future price movements.

The Ethereum (ETH) market is experiencing a mix of anticipation and doubt after delays in launching spot Ethereum ETFs. Originally expected on July 2, these ETFs are now anticipated for July 8, but optimism has faded.

CoinShares’ digital fund flows report shows Ethereum facing significant outflows, marking its worst performance since August 2022. Ethereum saw $61 million in outflows, totaling $119 million over the last two weeks. James Butterfill, Head of Research at CoinShares, blamed the uncertainty caused by the ETF delay for this decline.

ETH’s price dropped 4.45% in the past 24 hours to $3,291. This decline has shifted sentiment, with both long-term and short-term holders becoming less bullish on ETH. The Short-Term Holder—Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (STH-NUPL) indicator now shows fear instead of optimism, indicating less enthusiasm about the ETFs.

K33 Research offers a different view. Their "Ahead of the Curve" report shows increasing interest in futures Ethereum ETFs, suggesting significant institutional interest. The VolatilityShares 2x leveraged ETH ETF quickly became the largest futures-based ETH ETF by ETH equivalent exposure in just 15 trading days.

Conversely, the IOMAP shows that 2.06 million addresses bought 863,020 ETH in the $3,190 to $3,285 range, providing potential support. Given the number of potential sellers at $3,386, this area will likely act as strong resistance.

With the new expected ETF launch date of July 8, market sentiment remains mixed. The delay has created uncertainty, leading to significant outflows and a price drop. However, rising interest in futures ETFs suggests institutional investors remain optimistic about Ethereum’s long-term potential.

In conclusion, Ethereum faces a crucial moment with the potential ETF launch and market reaction. Mixed sentiment highlights the uncertainty and high stakes, with ETH's future price direction depending on ETF decisions and broader market dynamics.

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