Bitcoin Struggles Near $90K as Short-Term Sellers Drive Volatility

Bitcoin Struggles Near $90K as Short-Term Sellers Drive Volatility

By Jakub Lazurek

15 Nov 2024 (about 1 month ago)

2 min read

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Bitcoin faces volatility near $90K as short-term holders cash in profits, while long-term investors hold steady, shaping the market's next move.

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently struggling to hold its position near the $90,000 mark, having recently seen a slight drop after briefly reaching a new all-time high. This decline is largely attributed to short-term holders, who are quickly taking profits, adding selling pressure and creating volatility in the market. Long-term holders, in contrast, remain steady, showing less inclination to sell during this price fluctuation.

On-chain data shows an increase in transactions from short-term holders, those who have owned Bitcoin for less than a month. This group has been actively moving their coins, with data suggesting they are cashing out gains. This activity is reflected in Bitcoin's Spent Output Age Bands (SOAB), which tracks coin movements based on the length of time held. An uptick in activity among younger age bands typically signals heightened selling by newer investors, affecting Bitcoin’s price stability.

While these short-term holders continue to influence price movements, long-term holders—those holding for over a year—have mostly stayed put. Their relatively low activity suggests confidence in Bitcoin's long-term prospects, as they are less affected by short-term price swings. This behavior has helped keep some stability in the market, though the impact of short-term sellers is currently dominating.

If the trend of profit-taking by short-term holders persists, Bitcoin may face additional downward pressure, potentially dipping to support levels below its recent high. However, if short-term sellers ease off, Bitcoin may have a chance to climb back toward its recent peak and even attempt a rally toward the psychological $100,000 milestone. The outcome will largely depend on whether new buyers step in to counterbalance the recent selling or if the market sees a continued wave of short-term profit-taking.

This dynamic between short- and long-term holders highlights Bitcoin's volatility as it approaches critical price thresholds. Investors should watch for any shifts in selling behavior, as it could signal either a consolidation phase or set the stage for another potential rally.

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